Vitoria 1-2 Botafogo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 23 May 2024

Vitoria
1-2 HT 0-1
Botafogo
📅23/05/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Cup – 2024

Vitoria vs Botafogo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.62
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.48
6+ Goals
8%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-3.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vitoria v Botafogo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitoria EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo EU Bookmakers 37%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.05/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.70
-16% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +50%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
23.0 Crosses 17.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.4

Vitoria vs Botafogo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitoria
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Botafogo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.04 xG 1.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
316 Passes 347
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.05.2024 Botafogo Botafogo 1-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Vitoria BRK
30.09.2021 Vitoria Vitoria 0-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR2
01.07.2021 Botafogo Botafogo 1-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR2
24.09.2018 Vitoria Vitoria 3-4 HT 1-2 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
27.05.2018 Botafogo Botafogo 1-1 HT 1-1 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
01.10.2017 Botafogo Botafogo 2-3 HT 1-1 Vitoria Vitoria BR1

Vitoria 1-2 Botafogo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitoria
1-2
AWAY Botafogo
1.41 xG 2.34
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
448 Passes 226
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 14
30 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Vitoria vs Botafogo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo squeezed past Vitoria 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Botafogo found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Vitoria had 64% of the ball to Botafogo's 36%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.41 to 2.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Vitoria and 1.50 for Botafogo.

What was the final score of Vitoria vs Botafogo?

Vitoria 1-2 Botafogo in the Brazil - Cup on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitoria vs Botafogo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Vitoria 34%, draw 29%, Botafogo 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botafogo) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Botafogo) ✗ Under 2.5
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