Fluminense 2-0 Sampaio Correa FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 23 May 2024

📅23/05/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.16
Draw
22%
6.26
Away
17%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.52
2-3 Goals
40%
2.01
4-5 Goals
26%
2.65
6+ Goals
11%
6.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
82%
-21.0pp
22%
Draw
13%
+9.3pp
17%
Away Win
6%
+11.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.3pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fluminense EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampaio Correa FC EU Bookmakers 8%
+10% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.66/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.83
+18% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -83% / +23%
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
423 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 74%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
23.5 Crosses 21.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fluminense
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sampaio Correa FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.08 xG 0.15
70% Ball Possession 30%
20 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 1
553 Passes 199
91% Pass Accuracy 77%
32 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
01.05.2024 Sampaio Correa FC Sampaio Correa FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Fluminense Fluminense BRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fluminense
2-0
AWAY Sampaio Correa FC
2.07 xG 0.27
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
524 Passes 224
89% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Fluminense vs Sampaio Correa FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fluminense saw off Sampaio Correa FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fluminense as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Fluminense had 67% of the ball to Sampaio Correa FC's 33%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 2.07 to 0.27.

What was the final score of Fluminense vs Sampaio Correa FC?

Fluminense 2-0 Sampaio Correa FC in the Brazil - Cup on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Sampaio Correa FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 60%, draw 22%, Sampaio Correa FC 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fluminense), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fluminense) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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