Amazonas 0-1 Flamengo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 23 May 2024

📅23/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.18
Draw
29%
4.62
Away
52%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.12
6+ Goals
9%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.98 — our 28% vs market 20.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
11%
+8.1pp
29%
Draw
18%
+10.5pp
52%
Away Win
71%
-18.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.5pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amazonas EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -45%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
239 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
Crosses 19.0
Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amazonas
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Flamengo
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.09 xG 1.09
28% Ball Possession 72%
4 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
205 Passes 668
74% Pass Accuracy 92%
5 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
02.05.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 1-0 HT 1-0 Amazonas Amazonas BRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amazonas
0-1
AWAY Flamengo
0.64 xG 2.17
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 10
261 Passes 496
86% Pass Accuracy 91%
13 Box Touches 33
25 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Amazonas vs Flamengo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo edged past Amazonas 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Amazonas had 37% of the ball to Flamengo's 63%, shots finished 13-21, expected goals 0.64 to 2.17 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Flamengo's control.

What was the final score of Amazonas vs Flamengo?

Amazonas 0-1 Flamengo in the Brazil - Cup on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amazonas vs Flamengo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Amazonas 19%, draw 29%, Flamengo 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Flamengo) ✓ BTTS No
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