Flamengo 1-0 Amazonas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 2 May 2024

📅02/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.16
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
16%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.43
Over 2.5
50%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.53
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
5.17
2-3 Goals
40%
1.96
4-5 Goals
23%
2.73
6+ Goals
12%
7.03
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.17 — our 25% vs market 14.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
82%
-17.1pp
19%
Draw
13%
+6.5pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+10.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.1pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flamengo EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Amazonas EU Bookmakers 8%
-12% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+19% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
451 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 75%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.7 Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Flamengo
1-0
AWAY Amazonas
1.09 xG 0.09
72% Ball Possession 28%
13 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
668 Passes 205
92% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 5
20 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Flamengo vs Amazonas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo nicked a narrow win over Amazonas 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Flamengo had 72% of the ball to Amazonas's 28%, shots finished 13-4, expected goals 1.09 to 0.09.

What was the final score of Flamengo vs Amazonas?

Flamengo 1-0 Amazonas in the Brazil - Cup on 02/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Amazonas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 64%, draw 19%, Amazonas 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Flamengo) ✓ BTTS No
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