Sousa 1-1 RB Bragantino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 2 May 2024

📅02/05/2024 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.09
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
49%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.68
Over 2.5
37%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.09
No
65%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
37%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
17%
+9.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
49%
Away Win
59%
-9.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.0pp
35%
BTTS Yes
44%
-8.8pp
65%
BTTS No
56%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sousa EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY RB Bragantino EU Bookmakers 62%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+38% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
246 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sousa
1-1
AWAY RB Bragantino
30% Ball Possession 70%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 8
121 Passes 403
57% Pass Accuracy 84%
POST-MATCH Sousa vs RB Bragantino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sousa and RB Bragantino couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was RB Bragantino at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

On the day, Sousa had 30% of the ball to RB Bragantino's 70%, shots finished 8-20.

What was the final score of Sousa vs RB Bragantino?

Sousa 1-1 RB Bragantino in the Brazil - Cup on 02/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sousa vs RB Bragantino?

Before kick-off our model rated an RB Bragantino win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sousa 27%, draw 24%, RB Bragantino 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (RB Bragantino), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RB Bragantino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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