America RN vs Corinthians Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
America RN v Corinthians — Team-Based Signals
America RN vs Corinthians Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
America RN
BR1
1-2
HT 1-0
Corinthians
BR1
America RN 1-2 Corinthians — Actual Match Statistics
Corinthians squeezed past America RN 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Corinthians as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, America RN had 33% of the ball to Corinthians's 67%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.11 to 1.14.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Corinthians led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for America RN and 1.50 for Corinthians.
What was the final score of America RN vs Corinthians?
America RN 1-2 Corinthians in the Brazil - Cup on 02/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for America RN vs Corinthians?
Before kick-off our model rated an Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split America RN 29%, draw 27%, Corinthians 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Corinthians) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.