Fortaleza 0-0 Vasco da Gama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 2 May 2024

Fortaleza
0-0 HT 0-0
Vasco da Gama
📅02/05/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Cup – 2024

Fortaleza vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.66
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.42
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.22
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
16.95
X/1
23%
3.61
X/2
9%
9.35
X/X
9%
4.63
2/1
9%
26.5
2/2
11%
8.16
2/X
8%
17.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+8.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.4pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fortaleza v Vasco da Gama — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasco da Gama EU Bookmakers 21%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
3.71/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.04
-5% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
353 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.9
21.0 Crosses 13.3
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.4

Fortaleza vs Vasco da Gama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Vasco da Gama
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.28 xG 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
333 Passes 324
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.10.2023 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 1-0 HT 0-0 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
27.05.2023 Fortaleza Fortaleza 2-0 HT 0-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
11.02.2021 Fortaleza Fortaleza 3-0 HT 2-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
20.11.2020 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
13.10.2019 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 1-0 HT 0-0 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
27.05.2019 Fortaleza Fortaleza 1-1 HT 0-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1

Fortaleza 0-0 Vasco da Gama — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza
0-0
AWAY Vasco da Gama
1.36 xG 0.19
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
462 Passes 256
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 9
28 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fortaleza vs Vasco da Gama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza and Vasco da Gama played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Fortaleza at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Fortaleza had 61% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 39%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.36 to 0.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fortaleza and 0.50 for Vasco da Gama.

What was the final score of Fortaleza vs Vasco da Gama?

Fortaleza 0-0 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Cup on 02/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs Vasco da Gama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza 48%, draw 26%, Vasco da Gama 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fortaleza) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortaleza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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