Ypiranga Erechim 2-1 Atletico Paranaense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 2 May 2024

📅02/05/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.09
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
46%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.86
Over 2.5
39%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.9
No
61%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
27%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
17%
+7.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
46%
Away Win
58%
-11.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
50%
+11.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
50%
-11.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.4pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ypiranga Erechim EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Paranaense EU Bookmakers 62%
+66% / +66% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.68/1.92
+150% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -72%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
215 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ypiranga Erechim
2-1
AWAY Atletico Paranaense
1.13 xG 0.34
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 6
352 Passes 266
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ypiranga Erechim vs Atletico Paranaense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ypiranga Erechim edged past Atletico Paranaense 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Paranaense at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ypiranga Erechim had 56% of the ball to Atletico Paranaense's 44%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.13 to 0.34.

What was the final score of Ypiranga Erechim vs Atletico Paranaense?

Ypiranga Erechim 2-1 Atletico Paranaense in the Brazil - Cup on 02/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ypiranga Erechim vs Atletico Paranaense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ypiranga Erechim 25%, draw 30%, Atletico Paranaense 46%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Paranaense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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