Corinthians vs America RN Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Corinthians v America RN — Team-Based Signals
Corinthians vs America RN Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
America RN
BR1
1-2
HT 1-0
Corinthians
BR1
Corinthians 2-1 America RN — Actual Match Statistics
Corinthians squeezed past America RN 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Corinthians as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Corinthians had 67% of the ball to America RN's 33%, shots finished 28-6, expected goals 2.23 to 0.45 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Corinthians's control.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Corinthians had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Corinthians and 0.67 for America RN.
What was the final score of Corinthians vs America RN?
Corinthians 2-1 America RN in the Brazil - Cup on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Corinthians vs America RN?
Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 62%, draw 22%, America RN 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Corinthians), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.