Sport Recife vs Atletico Mineiro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sport Recife v Atletico Mineiro — Team-Based Signals
Sport Recife vs Atletico Mineiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Sport Recife
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Atletico Mineiro
BR1
2-3
HT 1-1
Atletico Mineiro
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Sport Recife
BR1
5-2
HT 4-1
Sport Recife
BR1
Sport Recife 1-0 Atletico Mineiro — Actual Match Statistics
Sport Recife edged past Atletico Mineiro 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Sport Recife made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Sport Recife had 51% of the ball to Atletico Mineiro's 49%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 0.56 to 0.30.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Mineiro led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sport Recife and 2.33 for Atletico Mineiro.
What was the final score of Sport Recife vs Atletico Mineiro?
Sport Recife 1-0 Atletico Mineiro in the Brazil - Cup on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sport Recife vs Atletico Mineiro?
Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sport Recife 31%, draw 28%, Atletico Mineiro 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) went the other way.