Atletico Mineiro vs Sport Recife Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Mineiro v Sport Recife — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Mineiro vs Sport Recife Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Sport Recife
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Atletico Mineiro
BR1
2-3
HT 1-1
Atletico Mineiro
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Sport Recife
BR1
5-2
HT 4-1
Sport Recife
BR1
3-2
HT 1-0
Atletico Mineiro
BR1
Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Sport Recife — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Mineiro got the better of Sport Recife 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Mineiro as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Atletico Mineiro had 65% of the ball to Sport Recife's 35%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 2.99 to 0.39.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Mineiro had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Atletico Mineiro and 1.17 for Sport Recife.
What was the final score of Atletico Mineiro vs Sport Recife?
Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Sport Recife in the Brazil - Cup on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Mineiro vs Sport Recife?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Atletico Mineiro 59%, draw 24%, Sport Recife 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Mineiro), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.