Operario PR 0-0 Gremio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.5
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.29
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
5.34
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+4.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.4pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Operario PR EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Gremio EU Bookmakers 49%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/0.85
-100% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
Crosses 17.0
Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Operario PR
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Gremio
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.60 xG 2.04
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
309 Passes 308
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
6 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.08.2022 Gremio Gremio 5-1 HT 1-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
28.04.2022 Operario PR Operario PR 0-1 HT 0-0 Gremio Gremio BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Operario PR
0-0
AWAY Gremio
0.55 xG 0.76
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 13
383 Passes 189
81% Pass Accuracy 68%
15 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Operario PR vs Gremio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Operario PR and Gremio fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Gremio at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Operario PR had 62% of the ball to Gremio's 38%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.55 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gremio led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Operario PR and 3.00 for Gremio.

What was the final score of Operario PR vs Gremio?

Operario PR 0-0 Gremio in the Brazil - Cup on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Operario PR vs Gremio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Operario PR 30%, draw 27%, Gremio 44%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gremio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gremio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BRK More Brazil - Cup
1 May 2024
01:00 Bahia vs Criciuma Analysis →
03:30 Atletico Mineiro vs Sport Recife Analysis →
22:00 Sampaio Correa FC vs Fluminense Analysis →
22:00 Brusque vs Atletico Goianiense Analysis →