Brusque 0-1 Atletico Goianiense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.32
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.6
Over 2.5
36%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.6
6+ Goals
8%
24.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.56 — our 36% vs market 32.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
26%
-2.1pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.4pp
46%
Away Win
43%
+2.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.5pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brusque EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Goianiense EU Bookmakers 48%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.79/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.51/0.50
-15% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / +103%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 83%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
33.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brusque
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
14.02.2019 Brusque Brusque 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brusque
0-1
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
0.64 xG 0.82
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
381 Passes 433
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brusque vs Atletico Goianiense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Goianiense edged past Brusque 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico Goianiense as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Brusque had 47% of the ball to Atletico Goianiense's 53%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.64 to 0.82.

What was the final score of Brusque vs Atletico Goianiense?

Brusque 0-1 Atletico Goianiense in the Brazil - Cup on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brusque vs Atletico Goianiense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Goianiense win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Brusque 24%, draw 30%, Atletico Goianiense 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Goianiense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Goianiense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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