Sampaio Correa FC 0-2 Fluminense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
6.35
Draw
31%
4.08
Away
50%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.9
Over 2.5
42%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
13%
+6.4pp
31%
Draw
21%
+9.9pp
50%
Away Win
66%
-16.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+9.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-9.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.3pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sampaio Correa FC EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Fluminense EU Bookmakers 70%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.10/0.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.91
-100% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -35%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
262 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 83%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
16.0 Crosses 16.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sampaio Correa FC
0-2
AWAY Fluminense
0.15 xG 2.08
30% Ball Possession 70%
7 Total Shots 20
0 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 5
199 Passes 553
77% Pass Accuracy 91%
12 Box Touches 32
4 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sampaio Correa FC vs Fluminense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fluminense got the better of Sampaio Correa FC 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fluminense as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sampaio Correa FC had 30% of the ball to Fluminense's 70%, shots finished 7-20, expected goals 0.15 to 2.08.

What was the final score of Sampaio Correa FC vs Fluminense?

Sampaio Correa FC 0-2 Fluminense in the Brazil - Cup on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sampaio Correa FC vs Fluminense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sampaio Correa FC 19%, draw 31%, Fluminense 50%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fluminense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fluminense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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