Flamengo vs Fortaleza Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Flamengo v Fortaleza — Team-Based Signals
Flamengo vs Fortaleza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Flamengo
BR1
2-0
HT 1-0
Fortaleza
BR1
3-2
HT 1-2
Flamengo
BR1
1-2
HT 1-1
Fortaleza
BR1
0-3
HT 0-0
Flamengo
BR1
2-1
HT 2-0
Fortaleza
BR1
Flamengo 1-2 Fortaleza — Actual Match Statistics
Fortaleza nicked a narrow win over Flamengo 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Flamengo at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Flamengo had 70% of the ball to Fortaleza's 30%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 2.05 to 0.39 — the balance of chances actually favoured Flamengo.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Flamengo and 1.00 for Fortaleza.
What was the final score of Flamengo vs Fortaleza?
Flamengo 1-2 Fortaleza in the Brazil - Serie A on 12/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Fortaleza?
Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 48%, draw 28%, Fortaleza 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.