Botafogo vs Vitoria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Botafogo v Vitoria — Team-Based Signals
Botafogo vs Vitoria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Botafogo
BR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Vitoria
BR2
3-4
HT 1-2
Botafogo
BR1
Botafogo 1-1 Vitoria — Actual Match Statistics
Botafogo and Vitoria shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Botafogo at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Botafogo had 73% of the ball to Vitoria's 27%, shots finished 26-10, expected goals 1.82 to 0.53.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Botafogo and 0.67 for Vitoria.
What was the final score of Botafogo vs Vitoria?
Botafogo 1-1 Vitoria in the Brazil - Serie A on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Vitoria?
Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 56%, draw 24%, Vitoria 20%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.