Internacional 4-1 Bragantino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.95
Over 2.5
43%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.56
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
17%
3.44
6+ Goals
10%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 32% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.06
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.15
X/1
16%
3.82
X/2
7%
10.55
X/X
9%
5.48
2/1
7%
23.4
2/2
12%
8.33
2/X
7%
16.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-9.9pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.3pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Internacional EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Bragantino EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -20%
1.85/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.54
+7% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
363 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 83%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
23.0 Crosses 17.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Internacional
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Bragantino
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.30 xG 0.97
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
342 Passes 334
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.09.2024 Bragantino 2-2 HT 1-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
27.11.2023 Internacional Internacional 1-0 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
23.07.2023 Bragantino 0-0 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
29.09.2022 Internacional Internacional 0-0 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1
06.06.2022 Bragantino 0-2 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
10.12.2021 Bragantino 1-0 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Internacional
4-1
AWAY Bragantino
3.13 xG 0.28
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
352 Passes 274
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Internacional vs Bragantino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Internacional ran out comfortable winners over Bragantino 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Internacional as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Internacional had 55% of the ball to Bragantino's 45%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 3.13 to 0.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Internacional had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Internacional and 0.50 for Bragantino.

What was the final score of Internacional vs Bragantino?

Internacional 4-1 Bragantino in the Brazil - Serie A on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Internacional vs Bragantino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Internacional 49%, draw 24%, Bragantino 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Internacional) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Internacional) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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