Corinthians vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Corinthians v Vasco da Gama — Team-Based Signals
Corinthians vs Vasco da Gama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-4
HT 2-2
Corinthians
BR1
3-1
HT 1-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
1-2
HT 0-1
Corinthians
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
Corinthians 3-1 Vasco da Gama — Actual Match Statistics
Corinthians saw off Vasco da Gama 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Corinthians as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Corinthians had 60% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 40%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 1.20 to 0.27.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Corinthians had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Corinthians and 1.00 for Vasco da Gama.
What was the final score of Corinthians vs Vasco da Gama?
Corinthians 3-1 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Serie A on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Vasco da Gama?
Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 52%, draw 26%, Vasco da Gama 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Corinthians) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.