Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vasco da Gama v Corinthians — Team-Based Signals
Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-4
HT 2-2
Corinthians
BR1
3-1
HT 1-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
1-2
HT 0-1
Corinthians
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
1-1
HT 1-1
Corinthians
BR1
Vasco da Gama 2-0 Corinthians — Actual Match Statistics
Vasco da Gama beat Corinthians 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 32%) promised a tight game; Vasco da Gama found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Vasco da Gama had 50% of the ball to Corinthians's 50%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.92 to 0.42.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Corinthians led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vasco da Gama and 1.83 for Corinthians.
What was the final score of Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians?
Vasco da Gama 2-0 Corinthians in the Brazil - Serie A on 11/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vasco da Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 40%, draw 27%, Corinthians 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vasco da Gama), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.