Gremio 0-2 Cruzeiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 11 Jul 2024

📅11/07/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-2.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.3pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gremio EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 37%
+13% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.40/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.20
+28% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +59%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
16.0 Crosses 18.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gremio
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cruzeiro
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.86 xG 1.01
42% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
272 Passes 388
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.08.2023 Gremio Gremio 3-0 HT 1-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
01.06.2023 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-1 HT 0-1 Gremio Gremio BRK
18.05.2023 Gremio Gremio 1-1 HT 0-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BRK
23.04.2023 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 1-0 HT 0-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
21.08.2022 Gremio Gremio 2-2 HT 1-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR2
08.05.2022 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 1-0 HT 1-0 Gremio Gremio BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gremio
0-2
AWAY Cruzeiro
1.01 xG 1.03
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
388 Passes 515
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
21 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gremio vs Cruzeiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruzeiro beat Gremio 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Cruzeiro made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Gremio had 45% of the ball to Cruzeiro's 55%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 1.01 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gremio and 0.83 for Cruzeiro.

What was the final score of Gremio vs Cruzeiro?

Gremio 0-2 Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 11/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gremio vs Cruzeiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Gremio 36%, draw 29%, Cruzeiro 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gremio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gremio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR1 More Brazil - Serie A
11 Jul 2024
01:00 Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians Analysis →
01:00 Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia Analysis →