Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Paranaense v Bahia — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
2-0
HT 2-0
Bahia
BR1
2-1
HT 0-1
Bahia
BRK
1-2
HT 1-2
Atletico Paranaense
BRK
0-2
HT 0-1
Bahia
BR1
2-1
HT 1-1
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
Atletico Paranaense 1-3 Bahia — Actual Match Statistics
Bahia saw off Atletico Paranaense 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Atletico Paranaense at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Atletico Paranaense had 52% of the ball to Bahia's 48%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 1.94 to 1.30 — the balance of chances actually favoured Atletico Paranaense.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Paranaense had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico Paranaense and 1.17 for Bahia.
What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia?
Atletico Paranaense 1-3 Bahia in the Brazil - Serie A on 11/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Atletico Paranaense 43%, draw 29%, Bahia 28%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.