Bragantino 2-2 Internacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 26 Sep 2024

Bragantino
2-2 HT 1-1
Internacional
📅26/09/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Bragantino vs Internacional Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.66
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.42
6+ Goals
7%
22.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 35% vs market 31.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.63
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
9%
13.8
X/1
15%
6.06
X/2
10%
4.82
X/X
14%
4.02
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.35
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-1.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.8pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bragantino v Internacional — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bragantino EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Internacional EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +25%
1.54/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.85
+32% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +55%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
22.6 Crosses 18.6
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

Bragantino vs Internacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bragantino
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Internacional
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.02 xG 1.02
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
351 Passes 323
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
27.11.2023 Internacional Internacional 1-0 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
23.07.2023 Bragantino 0-0 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
29.09.2022 Internacional Internacional 0-0 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1
06.06.2022 Bragantino 0-2 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
10.12.2021 Bragantino 1-0 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
22.10.2021 Internacional Internacional 1-1 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1

Bragantino 2-2 Internacional — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bragantino
2-2
AWAY Internacional
1.15 xG 2.37
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 11
1 Corners 9
299 Passes 384
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 42
11 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bragantino vs Internacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bragantino and Internacional couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bragantino had 45% of the ball to Internacional's 55%, shots finished 11-24, expected goals 1.15 to 2.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Internacional led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Bragantino and 0.67 for Internacional.

What was the final score of Bragantino vs Internacional?

Bragantino 2-2 Internacional in the Brazil - Serie A on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bragantino vs Internacional?

Before kick-off our model rated an Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bragantino 34%, draw 28%, Internacional 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Internacional) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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