Gremio vs Criciuma Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gremio v Criciuma — Team-Based Signals
Gremio vs Criciuma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Gremio
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Criciuma
BR2
0-1
HT 0-1
Gremio
BRK
0-1
HT 0-1
Criciuma
BRK
0-3
HT 0-2
Gremio
BR1
Gremio 1-2 Criciuma — Actual Match Statistics
Criciuma squeezed past Gremio 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Gremio at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Gremio had 65% of the ball to Criciuma's 35%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.67 to 0.80 — the balance of chances actually favoured Gremio.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gremio had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gremio and 0.50 for Criciuma.
What was the final score of Gremio vs Criciuma?
Gremio 1-2 Criciuma in the Brazil - Serie A on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gremio vs Criciuma?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gremio 47%, draw 24%, Criciuma 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Gremio), BTTS No went the other way.