Criciuma vs Gremio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Criciuma v Gremio — Team-Based Signals
Criciuma vs Gremio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Gremio
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Criciuma
BR2
0-1
HT 0-1
Gremio
BRK
0-1
HT 0-1
Criciuma
BRK
0-3
HT 0-2
Gremio
BR1
2-0
HT 1-0
Criciuma
BR1
Criciuma 0-1 Gremio — Actual Match Statistics
Gremio nicked a narrow win over Criciuma 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Gremio made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Criciuma had 46% of the ball to Gremio's 54%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 0.89 to 1.24.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gremio led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Criciuma and 1.00 for Gremio.
What was the final score of Criciuma vs Gremio?
Criciuma 0-1 Gremio in the Brazil - Serie A on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Criciuma vs Gremio?
Before kick-off our model rated an Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Criciuma 35%, draw 27%, Gremio 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gremio), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.