Atletico Mineiro 0-2 Fluminense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.19
No
64%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.19
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.69
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.68
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.25
X/1
23%
3.98
X/2
7%
7.99
X/X
12%
3.62
2/1
5%
32.5
2/2
12%
7.13
2/X
7%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.3pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.0pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.9pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.9pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.5pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Fluminense EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.44/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.45
+11% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
371 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
22.2 Crosses 15.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Mineiro
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Fluminense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.37 xG 0.90
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
305 Passes 350
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.05.2024 Fluminense Fluminense 2-2 HT 1-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
29.10.2023 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-0 HT 0-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
22.06.2023 Fluminense Fluminense 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
01.10.2022 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-0 HT 1-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
09.06.2022 Fluminense Fluminense 5-3 HT 3-2 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
28.11.2021 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-1 HT 1-1 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Mineiro
0-2
AWAY Fluminense
0.51 xG 0.74
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
409 Passes 261
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 9
32 Crosses 6
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Mineiro vs Fluminense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fluminense beat Atletico Mineiro 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Mineiro at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Mineiro had 60% of the ball to Fluminense's 40%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 0.51 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Mineiro had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Atletico Mineiro and 1.50 for Fluminense.

What was the final score of Atletico Mineiro vs Fluminense?

Atletico Mineiro 0-2 Fluminense in the Brazil - Serie A on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Mineiro vs Fluminense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Atletico Mineiro 49%, draw 26%, Fluminense 25%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR1 More Brazil - Serie A
25 Aug 2024
00:30 Palmeiras vs Cuiaba Analysis →
22:00 Bahia vs Botafogo Analysis →
22:00 Criciuma vs Gremio Analysis →
22:00 Fortaleza vs Corinthians Analysis →