Bahia 0-0 Botafogo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 30% vs market 25.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.05
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
16%
4.83
X/2
14%
6.59
X/X
13%
4.48
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
12%
4.73
2/X
6%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.7pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahia EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.53/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.40
+5% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
22.5 Crosses 17.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahia
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Botafogo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.50 xG 1.20
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
434 Passes 322
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.08.2024 Bahia Bahia 1-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BRK
31.07.2024 Botafogo Botafogo 1-1 HT 1-1 Bahia Bahia BRK
06.05.2024 Botafogo Botafogo 1-2 HT 0-1 Bahia Bahia BR1
27.08.2023 Botafogo Botafogo 3-0 HT 1-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
25.04.2023 Bahia Bahia 1-2 HT 1-1 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
09.11.2020 Bahia Bahia 1-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahia
0-0
AWAY Botafogo
0.92 xG 0.86
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
349 Passes 297
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bahia vs Botafogo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahia and Botafogo played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Bahia at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Bahia had 53% of the ball to Botafogo's 47%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 0.92 to 0.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bahia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bahia and 1.17 for Botafogo.

What was the final score of Bahia vs Botafogo?

Bahia 0-0 Botafogo in the Brazil - Serie A on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahia vs Botafogo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bahia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bahia 43%, draw 25%, Botafogo 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bahia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bahia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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