Fortaleza vs Corinthians Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fortaleza v Corinthians — Team-Based Signals
Fortaleza vs Corinthians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Corinthians
CON CSA
1-1
HT 1-1
Fortaleza
CON CSA
2-1
HT 1-1
Corinthians
BR1
1-1
HT 0-0
Fortaleza
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Corinthians
BR1
Fortaleza 1-0 Corinthians — Actual Match Statistics
Fortaleza squeezed past Corinthians 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fortaleza as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.
On the day, Fortaleza had 45% of the ball to Corinthians's 55%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 1.04 to 0.64.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortaleza had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fortaleza and 0.50 for Corinthians.
What was the final score of Fortaleza vs Corinthians?
Fortaleza 1-0 Corinthians in the Brazil - Serie A on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs Corinthians?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza 46%, draw 30%, Corinthians 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.