Corinthians 0-0 Fortaleza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.43
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.0
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.05
X/1
16%
4.2
X/2
14%
6.76
X/X
10%
3.75
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
12%
5.81
2/X
9%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.6pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.5pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Corinthians EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortaleza EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.31/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.39
+6% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
21.3 Crosses 16.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Corinthians
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Fortaleza
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.71 xG 1.26
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
392 Passes 282
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2023 Fortaleza Fortaleza 2-0 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians CON CSA
27.09.2023 Corinthians Corinthians 1-1 HT 1-1 Fortaleza Fortaleza CON CSA
15.09.2023 Fortaleza Fortaleza 2-1 HT 1-1 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
09.05.2023 Corinthians Corinthians 1-1 HT 0-0 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
22.08.2022 Fortaleza Fortaleza 1-0 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
01.05.2022 Corinthians Corinthians 1-0 HT 0-0 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Corinthians
0-0
AWAY Fortaleza
1.85 xG 1.10
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
443 Passes 207
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Corinthians vs Fortaleza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Corinthians and Fortaleza fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Corinthians at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Corinthians had 65% of the ball to Fortaleza's 35%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.85 to 1.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortaleza led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Corinthians and 1.17 for Fortaleza.

What was the final score of Corinthians vs Fortaleza?

Corinthians 0-0 Fortaleza in the Brazil - Serie A on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Fortaleza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 41%, draw 26%, Fortaleza 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Corinthians) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Corinthians) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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