Bragantino 1-1 Flamengo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 5 May 2024

Bragantino
1-1 HT 1-0
Flamengo
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Bragantino vs Flamengo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.73
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.29
6+ Goals
10%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.2
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
13%
5.77
X/2
11%
5.24
X/X
12%
3.97
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.66
2/X
9%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-1.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bragantino v Flamengo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bragantino EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
1.35/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.18
+23% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
19.9 Crosses 15.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

Bragantino vs Flamengo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bragantino
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Flamengo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.44 xG 1.86
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 8
274 Passes 424
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.11.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 1-0 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1
23.06.2023 Bragantino 4-0 HT 1-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
02.10.2022 Flamengo Flamengo 4-1 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
09.06.2022 Bragantino 1-0 HT 1-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
07.10.2021 Bragantino 1-1 HT 0-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
20.06.2021 Flamengo Flamengo 2-3 HT 1-1 Bragantino BR1

Bragantino 1-1 Flamengo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bragantino
1-1
AWAY Flamengo
0.65 xG 1.78
43% Ball Possession 57%
18 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
214 Passes 324
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 35
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bragantino vs Flamengo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bragantino and Flamengo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Bragantino had 43% of the ball to Flamengo's 57%, shots finished 18-19, expected goals 0.65 to 1.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bragantino had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bragantino and 1.33 for Flamengo.

What was the final score of Bragantino vs Flamengo?

Bragantino 1-1 Flamengo in the Brazil - Serie A on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bragantino vs Flamengo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bragantino win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Bragantino 36%, draw 29%, Flamengo 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bragantino), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bragantino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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