Bahia vs Botafogo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bahia v Botafogo — Team-Based Signals
Bahia vs Botafogo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Bahia
BR1
1-2
HT 1-1
Botafogo
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Botafogo
BR1
1-2
HT 0-1
Bahia
BR1
Bahia 1-0 Botafogo — Actual Match Statistics
Bahia edged past Botafogo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Bahia found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Bahia had 62% of the ball to Botafogo's 38%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.27 to 1.59.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bahia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bahia and 1.33 for Botafogo.
What was the final score of Bahia vs Botafogo?
Bahia 1-0 Botafogo in the Brazil - Cup on 08/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bahia vs Botafogo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bahia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bahia 37%, draw 28%, Botafogo 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bahia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.