Fluminense 2-2 Juventude — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 8 Aug 2024

📅08/08/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.47
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.83
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.12
6+ Goals
9%
19.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 31% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
25%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
64%
-15.9pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.6pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+10.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.2pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fluminense EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventude EU Bookmakers 17%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.76/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.38
+42% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +30%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
22.9 Crosses 14.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fluminense
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Juventude
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.17 xG 1.20
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
445 Passes 262
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2024 Juventude Juventude 3-2 HT 0-1 Fluminense Fluminense BRK
02.06.2024 Fluminense Fluminense 1-1 HT 1-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
29.09.2022 Fluminense Fluminense 4-0 HT 2-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
05.06.2022 Juventude Juventude 1-0 HT 1-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
18.11.2021 Juventude Juventude 1-0 HT 1-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
03.09.2021 Fluminense Fluminense 1-1 HT 0-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fluminense
2-2
AWAY Juventude
1.17 xG 1.30
81% Ball Possession 19%
24 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 5
14 Corners 2
679 Passes 106
92% Pass Accuracy 61%
31 Box Touches 16
53 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Fluminense vs Juventude
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fluminense and Juventude couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Fluminense at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fluminense had 81% of the ball to Juventude's 19%, shots finished 24-9, expected goals 1.17 to 1.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventude led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fluminense and 1.17 for Juventude.

What was the final score of Fluminense vs Juventude?

Fluminense 2-2 Juventude in the Brazil - Cup on 08/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Juventude?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 48%, draw 28%, Juventude 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fluminense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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