Palmeiras vs Flamengo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Palmeiras v Flamengo — Team-Based Signals
Palmeiras vs Flamengo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Palmeiras
BR1
1-1
HT 1-0
Flamengo
BR1
4-3
HT 2-1
Flamengo
BRSC
1-1
HT 0-1
Flamengo
BR1
Palmeiras 1-0 Flamengo — Actual Match Statistics
Palmeiras nicked a narrow win over Flamengo 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Palmeiras as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Palmeiras had 59% of the ball to Flamengo's 41%, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 1.49 to 0.26 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Palmeiras's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Palmeiras and 1.67 for Flamengo.
What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Flamengo?
Palmeiras 1-0 Flamengo in the Brazil - Cup on 08/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Flamengo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 46%, draw 27%, Flamengo 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.