Flamengo 2-0 Palmeiras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 1 Aug 2024

📅01/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.67
Over 2.5
36%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.69
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.35
6+ Goals
8%
21.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.69 — our 37% vs market 31.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-4.5pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.5pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.5pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flamengo EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Palmeiras EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.21/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/0.98
-24% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
15.6 Crosses 13.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flamengo
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Palmeiras
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.25 xG 1.13
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
375 Passes 314
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Palmeiras Palmeiras 0-0 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
09.11.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 3-0 HT 2-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
09.07.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-1 HT 1-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
28.01.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 4-3 HT 2-1 Flamengo Flamengo BRSC
21.08.2022 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-1 HT 0-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
21.04.2022 Flamengo Flamengo 0-0 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Flamengo
2-0
AWAY Palmeiras
1.83 xG 0.07
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
447 Passes 283
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 6
19 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Flamengo vs Palmeiras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo saw off Palmeiras 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Flamengo had 60% of the ball to Palmeiras's 40%, shots finished 19-2, expected goals 1.83 to 0.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Flamengo and 1.00 for Palmeiras.

What was the final score of Flamengo vs Palmeiras?

Flamengo 2-0 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Cup on 01/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Palmeiras?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 42%, draw 31%, Palmeiras 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Flamengo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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