Corinthians 0-0 Gremio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 1 Aug 2024

📅01/08/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
29%
2.77
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.41
Over 2.5
38%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.0
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
17%
6.61
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.28
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.45
X/1
21%
4.47
X/2
18%
6.76
X/X
15%
3.19
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
7%
5.89
2/X
5%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
32%
-3.0pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
67%
-5.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
33%
+5.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.3pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Corinthians EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gremio EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.67/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.41
+69% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +59%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
20.9 Crosses 11.7
1.1 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Corinthians
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Gremio
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.01 xG 1.06
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
384 Passes 372
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.07.2024 Corinthians Corinthians 2-2 HT 1-1 Gremio Gremio BR1
12.11.2023 Gremio Gremio 0-1 HT 0-1 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
19.09.2023 Corinthians Corinthians 4-4 HT 3-2 Gremio Gremio BR1
05.12.2021 Corinthians Corinthians 1-1 HT 0-1 Gremio Gremio BR1
29.08.2021 Gremio Gremio 0-1 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
23.11.2020 Corinthians Corinthians 0-0 HT 0-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Corinthians
0-0
AWAY Gremio
0.45 xG 0.85
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
350 Passes 313
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Corinthians vs Gremio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Corinthians and Gremio played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Corinthians at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Corinthians had 54% of the ball to Gremio's 46%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.45 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Corinthians had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Corinthians and 1.17 for Gremio.

What was the final score of Corinthians vs Gremio?

Corinthians 0-0 Gremio in the Brazil - Cup on 01/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Gremio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 42%, draw 29%, Gremio 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Corinthians) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Corinthians) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BRK More Brazil - Cup
1 Aug 2024
01:00 CRB vs Atletico Mineiro Analysis →
01:00 Atletico Paranaense vs Bragantino Analysis →
02:00 Flamengo vs Palmeiras Analysis →
03:30 Atletico Goianiense vs Vasco da Gama Analysis →