Atletico Paranaense 2-0 Bragantino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 1 Aug 2024

📅01/08/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.34
6+ Goals
10%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.27
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.85
X/1
14%
3.88
X/2
11%
9.65
X/X
12%
4.24
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
9%
8.2
2/X
9%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Paranaense EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bragantino EU Bookmakers 22%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.54/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/1.19
+42% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -85% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
406 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.9
26.1 Crosses 11.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Paranaense
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bragantino
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.03 xG 1.38
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
267 Passes 357
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.07.2024 Bragantino 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
09.10.2023 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 1-1 HT 1-1 Bragantino BR1
21.05.2023 Bragantino 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
22.10.2022 Bragantino 4-2 HT 3-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
25.06.2022 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 4-2 HT 3-0 Bragantino BR1
20.11.2021 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 1-0 HT 1-0 Bragantino CON CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Paranaense
2-0
AWAY Bragantino
1.31 xG 0.88
29% Ball Possession 71%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 8
145 Passes 444
66% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 18
5 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Paranaense vs Bragantino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Paranaense saw off Bragantino 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico Paranaense as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Atletico Paranaense had 29% of the ball to Bragantino's 71%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 1.31 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bragantino led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico Paranaense and 1.67 for Bragantino.

What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Bragantino?

Atletico Paranaense 2-0 Bragantino in the Brazil - Cup on 01/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Paranaense vs Bragantino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Atletico Paranaense 46%, draw 27%, Bragantino 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Paranaense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Paranaense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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