Atletico Goianiense 1-1 Vasco da Gama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 1 Aug 2024

Atletico Goianiense
1-1 HT 1-0
Vasco da Gama
📅01/08/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Cup – 2024

Atletico Goianiense vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.53
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.58
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.4
X/1
18%
4.75
X/2
11%
5.81
X/X
13%
3.6
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
14%
4.74
2/X
6%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.1pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.7pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Goianiense v Vasco da Gama — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Goianiense EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasco da Gama EU Bookmakers 34%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
0.78/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/1.09
+12% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
280 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 79%
13.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.1
12.3 Crosses 11.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 4.2

Atletico Goianiense vs Vasco da Gama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Goianiense
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Vasco da Gama
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.25 xG 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
305 Passes 354
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.07.2024 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 0-1 HT 0-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
08.01.2021 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 0-0 HT 0-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
11.09.2020 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 1-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
19.10.2017 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 0-1 HT 0-1 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
25.06.2017 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
24.09.2016 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR2

Atletico Goianiense 1-1 Vasco da Gama — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Goianiense
1-1
AWAY Vasco da Gama
2.34 xG 0.73
40% Ball Possession 60%
26 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 7
211 Passes 363
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
54 Box Touches 9
27 Crosses 26
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Goianiense vs Vasco da Gama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Goianiense and Vasco da Gama couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Goianiense at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Goianiense had 40% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 60%, shots finished 26-6, expected goals 2.34 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vasco da Gama led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Atletico Goianiense and 1.00 for Vasco da Gama.

What was the final score of Atletico Goianiense vs Vasco da Gama?

Atletico Goianiense 1-1 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Cup on 01/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Goianiense vs Vasco da Gama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Goianiense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Atletico Goianiense 41%, draw 27%, Vasco da Gama 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Goianiense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Goianiense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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