CRB 2-2 Atletico Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 1 Aug 2024

📅01/08/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
4.48
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
42%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.27
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.4
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
19%
+17.3pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.4pp
42%
Away Win
54%
-11.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.4pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CRB EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 57%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
0.65/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.55
-20% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -30%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
277 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 85%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
17.4 Crosses 11.3
3.2 Yellow Cards 5.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CRB
2-2
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
0.44 xG 3.81
27% Ball Possession 73%
8 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
134 Passes 489
65% Pass Accuracy 87%
6 Box Touches 33
8 Crosses 33
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CRB vs Atletico Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CRB and Atletico Mineiro shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 22% / 42%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CRB had 27% of the ball to Atletico Mineiro's 73%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 0.44 to 3.81.

What was the final score of CRB vs Atletico Mineiro?

CRB 2-2 Atletico Mineiro in the Brazil - Cup on 01/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CRB vs Atletico Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CRB 37%, draw 22%, Atletico Mineiro 42%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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