Palmeiras 0-0 Flamengo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.54
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.66
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.94
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
13%
4.4
X/2
13%
7.01
X/X
11%
3.9
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
12%
5.67
2/X
6%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.9pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.1pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.9pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palmeiras EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +22%
1.46/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.24
+29% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
20.8 Crosses 16.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palmeiras
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Flamengo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.19 xG 1.39
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
320 Passes 430
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 3-0 HT 2-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
09.07.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-1 HT 1-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
28.01.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 4-3 HT 2-1 Flamengo Flamengo BRSC
21.08.2022 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-1 HT 0-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
21.04.2022 Flamengo Flamengo 0-0 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
27.11.2021 Palmeiras Palmeiras 2-1 HT 1-0 Flamengo Flamengo LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palmeiras
0-0
AWAY Flamengo
0.40 xG 0.24
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
258 Passes 279
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
9 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Palmeiras vs Flamengo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palmeiras and Flamengo fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Palmeiras at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Palmeiras had 49% of the ball to Flamengo's 51%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.40 to 0.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Palmeiras and 1.50 for Flamengo.

What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Flamengo?

Palmeiras 0-0 Flamengo in the Brazil - Serie A on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Flamengo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 44%, draw 24%, Flamengo 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Palmeiras) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palmeiras) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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