Vitoria vs Bahia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vitoria v Bahia — Team-Based Signals
Vitoria vs Bahia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Vitoria
BRCDN
1-0
HT 1-0
Vitoria
BRB1
1-1
HT 0-0
Bahia
BRB1
0-0
HT 0-0
Vitoria
BRB1
1-0
HT 0-0
Bahia
BRCDN
2-2
HT 1-1
Bahia
BR1
Vitoria 2-2 Bahia — Actual Match Statistics
Vitoria and Bahia couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Vitoria had 42% of the ball to Bahia's 58%, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 1.69 to 2.14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vitoria and 0.83 for Bahia.
What was the final score of Vitoria vs Bahia?
Vitoria 2-2 Bahia in the Brazil - Serie A on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vitoria vs Bahia?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bahia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vitoria 34%, draw 27%, Bahia 40%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.