Gremio vs Cuiaba Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gremio v Cuiaba — Team-Based Signals
Gremio vs Cuiaba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Cuiaba
BR1
1-2
HT 1-1
Gremio
BR1
2-2
HT 0-1
Cuiaba
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Gremio
BR1
2-0
HT 2-0
Cuiaba
BRK
1-2
HT 1-2
Gremio
BRK
Gremio 1-0 Cuiaba — Actual Match Statistics
Gremio squeezed past Cuiaba 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gremio as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.
On the day, Gremio had 57% of the ball to Cuiaba's 43%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.63 to 1.35 — the balance of chances actually favoured Cuiaba.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gremio had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Gremio and 0.67 for Cuiaba.
What was the final score of Gremio vs Cuiaba?
Gremio 1-0 Cuiaba in the Brazil - Serie A on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gremio vs Cuiaba?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gremio 47%, draw 26%, Cuiaba 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gremio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.