Bragantino 2-2 Sao Paulo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 17 Jul 2025

Bragantino
2-2 HT 1-1
Sao Paulo
📅17/07/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Bragantino vs Sao Paulo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.33
Draw
26%
2.83
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.36
Over 2.5
39%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.33
No
60%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
1.87
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
18%
7.08
6+ Goals
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.72
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.95
X/1
22%
4.73
X/2
10%
6.01
X/X
11%
3.28
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
13%
5.32
2/X
9%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
39%
+4.4pp
26%
Draw
32%
-5.5pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
70%
-8.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
30%
+8.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
39%
+1.2pp
60%
BTTS No
61%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bragantino v Sao Paulo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bragantino EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Paulo EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +6%
1.19/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.07
-4% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
325 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
19.0 Crosses 17.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7

Bragantino vs Sao Paulo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bragantino
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sao Paulo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.15 xG 1.59
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
243 Passes 361
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.11.2024 Bragantino 1-1 HT 1-1 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
07.07.2024 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 2-0 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1
09.11.2023 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 1-0 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1
09.02.2023 Bragantino 2-1 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BRPL1
14.08.2022 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 3-0 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
23.04.2022 Bragantino 1-1 HT 1-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1

Bragantino 2-2 Sao Paulo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bragantino
2-2
AWAY Sao Paulo
0.82 xG 1.39
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
401 Passes 458
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
26 Box Touches 25
27 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bragantino vs Sao Paulo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bragantino and Sao Paulo couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bragantino at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bragantino had 48% of the ball to Sao Paulo's 52%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 0.82 to 1.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Paulo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bragantino and 1.50 for Sao Paulo.

What was the final score of Bragantino vs Sao Paulo?

Bragantino 2-2 Sao Paulo in the Brazil - Serie A on 17/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bragantino vs Sao Paulo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bragantino win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bragantino 44%, draw 26%, Sao Paulo 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bragantino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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