Sao Paulo 2-0 Bragantino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 7 Jul 2024

Sao Paulo
2-0 HT 0-0
Bragantino
📅07/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Sao Paulo vs Bragantino Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.5
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.76
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.5 — our 37% vs market 33.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.7pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.4pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.8pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sao Paulo v Bragantino — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Paulo EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Bragantino EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -14%
1.21/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.25
-8% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
22.6 Crosses 20.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7

Sao Paulo vs Bragantino Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Paulo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bragantino
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.97 xG 1.02
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
350 Passes 238
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.11.2023 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 1-0 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1
09.02.2023 Bragantino 2-1 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BRPL1
14.08.2022 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 3-0 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
23.04.2022 Bragantino 1-1 HT 1-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
04.02.2022 Bragantino 4-3 HT 2-1 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BREPAU
25.10.2021 Bragantino 1-0 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1

Sao Paulo 2-0 Bragantino — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Paulo
2-0
AWAY Bragantino
1.87 xG 0.95
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
392 Passes 240
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sao Paulo vs Bragantino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sao Paulo beat Bragantino 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sao Paulo as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Sao Paulo had 60% of the ball to Bragantino's 40%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.87 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bragantino led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sao Paulo and 1.33 for Bragantino.

What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs Bragantino?

Sao Paulo 2-0 Bragantino in the Brazil - Serie A on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Paulo vs Bragantino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sao Paulo 41%, draw 31%, Bragantino 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sao Paulo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sao Paulo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR1 More Brazil - Serie A
7 Jul 2024
02:00 Flamengo vs Cuiaba Analysis →
22:00 Cruzeiro vs Corinthians Analysis →
22:00 Fortaleza vs Fluminense Analysis →
22:00 Juventude vs Gremio Analysis →