Flamengo 1-1 Cuiaba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 7 Jul 2024

Flamengo
1-1 HT 0-1
Cuiaba
📅07/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Flamengo vs Cuiaba Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.45
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
27%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.33
No
56%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
65%
-19.8pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.4pp
27%
Away Win
13%
+14.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.8pp
56%
BTTS No
61%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Flamengo v Cuiaba — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flamengo EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Cuiaba EU Bookmakers 16%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +10%
1.77/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.32
-2% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +41%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
439 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
21.0 Crosses 16.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Flamengo vs Cuiaba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flamengo
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Cuiaba
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.57 xG 0.86
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
506 Passes 273
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
32 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.12.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 2-1 HT 2-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
07.08.2023 Cuiaba Cuiaba 3-0 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
09.10.2022 Cuiaba Cuiaba 1-2 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
16.06.2022 Flamengo Flamengo 2-0 HT 1-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
18.10.2021 Flamengo Flamengo 0-0 HT 0-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
02.07.2021 Cuiaba Cuiaba 0-2 HT 0-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1

Flamengo 1-1 Cuiaba — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Flamengo
1-1
AWAY Cuiaba
1.39 xG 0.78
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 0
527 Passes 252
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
34 Box Touches 8
31 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Flamengo vs Cuiaba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo and Cuiaba couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Flamengo at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Flamengo had 66% of the ball to Cuiaba's 34%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.39 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Flamengo and 0.83 for Cuiaba.

What was the final score of Flamengo vs Cuiaba?

Flamengo 1-1 Cuiaba in the Brazil - Serie A on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Cuiaba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 45%, draw 28%, Cuiaba 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Flamengo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Flamengo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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