Fortaleza vs Fluminense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fortaleza v Fluminense — Team-Based Signals
Fortaleza vs Fluminense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Fortaleza
BR1
4-2
HT 2-1
Fluminense
BR1
2-1
HT 1-0
Fortaleza
BR1
2-2
HT 0-2
Fortaleza
BRK
0-1
HT 0-1
Fluminense
BRK
0-1
HT 0-1
Fluminense
BR1
Fortaleza 1-0 Fluminense — Actual Match Statistics
Fortaleza squeezed past Fluminense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Fortaleza as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Fortaleza had 42% of the ball to Fluminense's 58%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 2.03 to 0.35 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fortaleza's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fluminense led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fortaleza and 1.50 for Fluminense.
What was the final score of Fortaleza vs Fluminense?
Fortaleza 1-0 Fluminense in the Brazil - Serie A on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs Fluminense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza 51%, draw 27%, Fluminense 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.