Cruzeiro 3-0 Corinthians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 7 Jul 2024

Cruzeiro
3-0 HT 2-0
Corinthians
📅07/07/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Cruzeiro vs Corinthians Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.13
6+ Goals
8%
19.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 35% vs market 29.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-9.8pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.2pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.3pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cruzeiro v Corinthians — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Corinthians EU Bookmakers 25%
-8% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
1.53/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.36
-14% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
408 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 79%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
23.3 Crosses 16.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Cruzeiro vs Corinthians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruzeiro
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Corinthians
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.52 xG 1.04
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
339 Passes 415
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.08.2023 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 1-1 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
16.04.2023 Corinthians Corinthians 2-1 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
20.10.2019 Corinthians Corinthians 1-2 HT 1-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
09.06.2019 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
15.11.2018 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 1-0 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
18.10.2018 Corinthians Corinthians 1-2 HT 0-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BRK

Cruzeiro 3-0 Corinthians — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruzeiro
3-0
AWAY Corinthians
1.47 xG 1.18
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 8
314 Passes 357
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cruzeiro vs Corinthians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruzeiro ran out comfortable winners over Corinthians 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cruzeiro as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Cruzeiro had 47% of the ball to Corinthians's 53%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.47 to 1.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruzeiro had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cruzeiro and 0.83 for Corinthians.

What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Corinthians?

Cruzeiro 3-0 Corinthians in the Brazil - Serie A on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Corinthians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 43%, draw 32%, Corinthians 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruzeiro), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cruzeiro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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