Danubio 4-1 Juventud — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 16 Mar 2026

📅16/03/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.54
Over 2.5
49%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.06
No
46%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
16%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.6pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
61%
-9.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
39%
+9.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
44%
+9.4pp
46%
BTTS No
56%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Danubio EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventud EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.50/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/0.79
+19% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +54%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Danubio
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Juventud
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.08.2025 Danubio Danubio 2-1 HT 1-1 Juventud Juventud URU
21.06.2025 Juventud Juventud 3-1 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
09.02.2025 Juventud Juventud 2-2 HT 0-2 Danubio Danubio URU
13.10.2021 Danubio Danubio 0-1 HT 0-1 Juventud Juventud URU2
09.11.2019 Juventud Juventud 0-0 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
26.04.2015 Juventud Juventud 0-1 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Danubio
4-1
AWAY Juventud
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Danubio vs Juventud
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Danubio cruised past Juventud 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Danubio as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Danubio had 47% of the ball to Juventud's 53%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Danubio and 1.17 for Juventud.

What was the final score of Danubio vs Juventud?

Danubio 4-1 Juventud in the Uruguay - Premier League on 16/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Danubio vs Juventud?

Before kick-off our model rated a Danubio win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Danubio 43%, draw 30%, Juventud 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Danubio), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Danubio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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