Weston-super-Mare 1-1 Eastbourne Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 16 Apr 2024

📅16/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.75
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.24
6+ Goals
8%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.75 — our 32% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-9.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.8pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 27%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -2%
2.09/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.40
+16% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
403 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weston-super-Mare
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Eastbourne Borough
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
02.09.2023 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 2-1 HT 1-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
03.02.2015 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 2-2 HT 1-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Weston-super-Mare
1-1
AWAY Eastbourne Borough
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Weston-super-Mare vs Eastbourne Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston-super-Mare and Eastbourne Borough couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Weston-super-Mare at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Weston-super-Mare had 68% of the ball to Eastbourne Borough's 32%, shots finished 14-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Eastbourne Borough led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Weston-super-Mare and 2.00 for Eastbourne Borough.

What was the final score of Weston-super-Mare vs Eastbourne Borough?

Weston-super-Mare 1-1 Eastbourne Borough in the England - Conference on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weston-super-Mare vs Eastbourne Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weston-super-Mare win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Weston-super-Mare 43%, draw 27%, Eastbourne Borough 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Weston-super-Mare), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
16 Apr 2024
21:45 Truro City vs Dover Athletic Analysis →
21:45 St. Albans City vs Hampton & Richmond Analysis →
21:45 Banbury United vs Boston United Analysis →
21:45 Taunton Town vs Torquay United Analysis →