Truro City 1-0 Dover Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 16 Apr 2024

📅16/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.33
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.31
6+ Goals
9%
12.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.5pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Truro City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Dover Athletic EU Bookmakers 26%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
4.81/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.39
+150% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
392 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Truro City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Dover Athletic
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.01.2024 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic 0-2 HT 0-0 Truro City Truro City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Truro City
1-0
AWAY Dover Athletic
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Truro City vs Dover Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Truro City nicked a narrow win over Dover Athletic 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Truro City as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Truro City had 47% of the ball to Dover Athletic's 53%, shots finished 18-9.

What was the final score of Truro City vs Dover Athletic?

Truro City 1-0 Dover Athletic in the England - Conference on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Truro City vs Dover Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Truro City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Truro City 44%, draw 25%, Dover Athletic 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Truro City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Truro City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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