Dover Athletic 0-2 Truro City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.76
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.9
6+ Goals
9%
18.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 32% vs market 29.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+1.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.0pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dover Athletic EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Truro City EU Bookmakers 49%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.12/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.06/1.07
-15% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -96% / +18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dover Athletic
0-2
AWAY Truro City
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dover Athletic vs Truro City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Truro City saw off Dover Athletic 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Truro City as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Dover Athletic had 43% of the ball to Truro City's 57%, shots finished 9-13.

What was the final score of Dover Athletic vs Truro City?

Dover Athletic 0-2 Truro City in the England - Conference on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dover Athletic vs Truro City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Truro City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dover Athletic 29%, draw 30%, Truro City 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Truro City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Truro City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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