Matlock Town 0-4 Gainsborough Trinity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 16 Apr 2024

📅16/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matlock Town EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.66/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.41
+0% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matlock Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.10.2023 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 5-3 HT 3-1 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
02.09.2023 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-1 HT 1-0 Matlock Town Matlock Town FAK
02.01.2023 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 3-0 HT 1-0 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
29.08.2022 Matlock Town Matlock Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
05.03.2022 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-2 HT 0-0 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
30.08.2021 Matlock Town Matlock Town 3-0 HT 2-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Matlock Town vs Gainsborough Trinity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainsborough Trinity cruised past Matlock Town 4-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Matlock Town at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Matlock Town and 1.83 for Gainsborough Trinity.

What was the final score of Matlock Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Matlock Town 0-4 Gainsborough Trinity in the England - Non League Premier on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matlock Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Before kick-off our model rated a Matlock Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Matlock Town 41%, draw 27%, Gainsborough Trinity 32%. The final score 0-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Matlock Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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